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Elective Orthopaedic Centre Development
In early 2022, the four acute trusts operating under the North West London ICS umbrella came together to propose a new way of organising planned orthopaedic (bone and joint) inpatient surgery for adults. We were commissioned to conduct a comprehensive predictive modelling exercise to assess the impact of the proposed new model of orthopaedic care, as well as supporting in a number of other ways.
Our solution
- Carried out waiting list forecast modelling, drawing on multiple datasets.
- Conducted waiting times predictions, using queuing methodology to provide estimation of future waiting times based on service demand and target admission waiting times.
- Evaluated clinical and operational models, ascertaining the best service configuration to generate the greatest benefits for patients
- Provided general advisory services to the programme’s steering group, including data quality considerations and materiality/sensitivity matters.
Our impact
- Created more than 12 modelling scenarios
- Analysed the care of 16,000 orthopaedic patients
- Reduced waiting list size by 30% and an 8 week reduction in waiting times evidenced
